There will be no large-scale invasion of Ukraine - Mikheil Saakashvili names main reasons

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Georgia's third president shares his views on the situation in Ukraine and writes:

"There will be no large-scale invasion of Ukraine for several main reasons:

1. The West has reached an unprecedented level of unity, and the imposed sanctions would be very difficult for Russia, just as Western military aid would make life very difficult for Russia.

A separate and important factor is Poland. A 40 million population NATO member who shares a border with Ukraine and has vital interests. In practice, it will be a war of Russia against Ukraine and Poland, with a population of 80 million. The Poles would not fight directly, but would provide unlimited supplies, training and support, and create a solid backbone for Ukraine. Behind Poland, stands America and NATO. Biden does not repeat for that he will protect NATO allies for nothing. It is clear that Poland and Romania are implied to be Ukraine's backbone.

2. In Kiev, after Zelensky's heavy blow to the Fifth Pillar last year (including me as co-rapporteur on the anti-oligarch law), no one is waiting for Putin in Kiev, and on the contrary, the political class is more consolidated than ever .

3. And lastly, Putin has clearly failed to achieve the public consensus within Russia that he had in 2008 and 2014," Mikhail Saakashvili wrote.

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